Alginet vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 0
CAN
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
ALG
41%
22%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
DEN
3 - 1
ALG
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
2 - 1
UEG
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 4
ALG
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CTS
2 - 0
CDA
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 0
CTS
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
CTS
26%
26%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CTS
0 - 0
POR
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CTS
2 - 2
TAV
37%
25%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |