Tercera Division G8 round 8

Algeciras CF vs Real Jaén analysis

Algeciras CF Real Jaén
40 ELO 47
2.7% Tilt -0.6%
2376º General ELO ranking 4919º
75º Country ELO ranking 174º
ELO win probability
40.5%
Algeciras CF
22.3%
Draw
37.2%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
Algeciras CF
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.2%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Algeciras CF
-1%
-21%
Real Jaén

ELO progression

Algeciras CF
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Algeciras CF
Algeciras CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 1943
BAL
RB Linense
2 - 2
Algeciras CF
ALG
61%
19%
20%
37 38 1 0
07 Nov. 1943
ALG
Algeciras CF
3 - 4
RCD Córdoba
RCD
52%
20%
28%
38 41 3 -1
24 Oct. 1943
REC
Recreativo
4 - 2
Algeciras CF
ALG
80%
12%
8%
39 51 12 -1
17 Oct. 1943
ALG
Algeciras CF
4 - 3
CD Linares
LIN
70%
16%
14%
39 33 6 0
10 Oct. 1943
GAD
Hércules Gaditano F.C.
1 - 1
Algeciras CF
ALG
38%
23%
39%
40 28 12 -1

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 1943
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
Coria CF
COR
80%
12%
8%
48 34 14 0
07 Nov. 1943
MAL
CD Málaga
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
75%
14%
11%
49 57 8 -1
24 Oct. 1943
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 1
Tetuán
CAT
52%
21%
27%
48 52 4 +1
17 Oct. 1943
RJA
Real Jaén
4 - 1
Hércules Gaditano F.C.
GAD
83%
11%
6%
49 28 21 -1
10 Oct. 1943
BAL
RB Linense
2 - 2
Real Jaén
RJA
45%
22%
33%
49 42 7 0