Ålgård vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ALG
0 - 0
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
VID
0 - 0
ALG
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ALG
2 - 2
POR
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
VIN
2 - 1
ALG
53%
22%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ALG
0 - 3
FOR
67%
19%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ASA
0 - 1
VAR
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
VAR
8 - 0
AIK
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
NOT
3 - 0
VAR
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 1
VIK
80%
12%
7%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 1
VAR
33%
23%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |