Algaida vs San Cayetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
ALG
21%
23%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ALG
5 - 2
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 4
ALG
56%
20%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 2
POR
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
ALG
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San Cayetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 1
PCR
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SCA
4 - 0
ATL
16%
18%
66%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
SCA
30%
23%
47%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 0
ATL
40%
21%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCA
81%
12%
7%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |