Alfreton Town vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RFC
1 - 1
ALF
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
ALF
2 - 0
WOR
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
ALF
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ALF
3 - 1
TOW
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GLO
1 - 2
ALF
32%
26%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GLO
1 - 2
STA
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
FLE
3 - 1
GLO
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
GLO
1 - 0
SOL
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GLO
1 - 2
ALF
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
GLO
3 - 5
HIN
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |