Alfreton Town vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 3
ALF
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 3
STO
22%
25%
53%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
STO
1 - 0
ALF
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 3
BOS
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 3
BRA
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 2
SAL
24%
24%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 2
YOR
33%
24%
42%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
TOW
3 - 0
DAR
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 1
TOW
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
GAI
3 - 1
DAR
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |