Alfoz vs Cospelto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
ALF
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 0
RIO
36%
24%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COS
3 - 4
ALF
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 1
SAN
27%
23%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
POL
2 - 2
ALF
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cospelto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
COS
1 - 4
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
COS
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COS
3 - 4
ALF
33%
24%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ABA
4 - 0
COS
25%
22%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COS
7 - 1
SAC
39%
24%
38%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |