Alfarras vs Sudanell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PAN
3 - 2
ALF
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PUI
0 - 1
ALF
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALF
3 - 0
SOS
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AIT
1 - 2
ALF
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALF
4 - 1
VIL
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sudanell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SUD
0 - 1
PUI
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SOS
1 - 1
SUD
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SUD
4 - 2
AIT
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
SUD
67%
18%
15%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SUD
0 - 2
JUN
33%
23%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |