Alfarras vs Almacelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 2
ALF
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 0
PAN
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 4
PUI
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SOS
0 - 2
ALF
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
AIT
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Almacelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
PUI
77%
14%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SOS
1 - 1
ALM
18%
18%
64%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
AIT
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
VIL
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
JUN
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |