Alfândega vs CD Man Fung Hong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-100%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfândega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 2
HLM
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 0
CLU
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 0
HNM
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
ROM
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
CPO
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Man Fung Hong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CLU
1 - 2
MFH
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 1
MFH
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MFA
1 - 0
MFH
17%
21%
63%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
HON
1 - 1
MFH
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MFH
1 - 0
HLM
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |