Alfacar UD vs CD Dúrcal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
7 - 1
ALH
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PUR
1 - 1
ALF
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 4
ALF
9%
17%
74%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 0
PDL
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 2
CAN
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Dúrcal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CDD
3 - 1
IMP
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
2 - 2
CDD
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CDD
2 - 1
CHU
47%
24%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PUR
2 - 0
CDD
25%
23%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CDD
2 - 1
CDH
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |