Alençon U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
79.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 0
ALE
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 3
HAV
7%
13%
81%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AMI
1 - 0
ALE
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 2
ORL
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
QUE
0 - 0
ALE
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BOI
1 - 3
CAE
7%
13%
80%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 3
VAL
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEN
4 - 0
CAE
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 1
LIL
30%
22%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 1
ROU
89%
7%
3%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |