Alemannia Mariadorf vs SW Nierfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
80.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Mariadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GER
5 - 2
ALE
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 3
AAA
11%
16%
73%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SVS
6 - 0
ALE
82%
12%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 2
DUR
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HEW
4 - 1
ALE
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SW Nierfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
NIE
0 - 3
EIL
63%
18%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NIE
3 - 2
GER
56%
19%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BGP
0 - 4
NIE
42%
22%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NIE
4 - 0
AAA
50%
20%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VFL
4 - 2
NIE
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |