Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 0
AAA
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
SEV
2 - 0
AAA
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
2 - 1
ROT
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 0
AAA
13%
21%
66%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
3 - 1
SAA
69%
19%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 1
ROT
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ROT
2 - 0
SAA
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 0
ROT
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
ROT
2 - 2
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
KSC
4 - 1
ROT
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |