Alemannia Aachen vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 4
AAA
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
5 - 1
SGD
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
AAA
0 - 0
FHH
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 1
AAA
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 1
AAA
24%
22%
54%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 1
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
REN
0 - 1
LIL
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 0
SHE
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LIL
4 - 0
MET
49%
27%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
SOC
0 - 2
LIL
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |