Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
WAT
5 - 0
AAA
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
OSN
0 - 0
AAA
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
AAA
2 - 2
HOM
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
AAA
2 - 0
ARB
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1986 |
BAY
2 - 1
AAA
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
OSN
1 - 1
KÖL
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
KÖL
3 - 1
ARB
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
HOM
0 - 1
KÖL
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
KÖL
2 - 1
EBT
55%
22%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |