Germany U20 vs Switzerland U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
DEU
3 - 2
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 2
DEU
26%
23%
51%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
DEU
4 - 2
POL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
DEU
1 - 1
POL
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
DEU
3 - 1
ITA
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
POL
0 - 1
CHE
51%
23%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 2
DEU
26%
23%
51%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 2
ITA
48%
23%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
POL
0 - 3
CHE
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |