European U19 Championship qualifying Elite Round Round 3

Alemania U19 vs Lituania U19 analysis

Alemania U19 Lituania U19
69 ELO 38
7.8% Tilt 2.4%
2016º General ELO ranking 21946º
84º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
86.9%
Alemania U19
9.6%
Draw
3.6%
Lituania U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
Alemania U19
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.6%
Win probability
Lituania U19
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alemania U19
-2%
+10%
Lituania U19

ELO progression

Alemania U19
Lituania U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alemania U19
Alemania U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2013
SCO
Escocia U19
1 - 1
Alemania U19
GER
21%
21%
58%
69 57 12 0
12 Oct. 2013
GER
Alemania U19
5 - 0
Letonia U19
LVA
86%
10%
4%
69 45 24 0
10 Oct. 2013
GER
Alemania U19
2 - 1
Bielorrusia U19
BLR
84%
11%
5%
69 48 21 0
10 Jun. 2013
GER
Alemania U19
0 - 1
Países Bajos U19
NED
60%
21%
19%
70 65 5 -1
07 Jun. 2013
NOR
Noruega U19
3 - 1
Alemania U19
GER
22%
21%
57%
71 58 13 -1

Matches

Lituania U19
Lituania U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2013
LTU
Lituania U19
1 - 0
Armenia U19
ARM
36%
25%
40%
37 45 8 0
12 Oct. 2013
ROU
Rumanía U19
1 - 0
Lituania U19
LTU
70%
18%
12%
37 52 15 0
10 Oct. 2013
POL
Polonia U19
1 - 1
Lituania U19
LTU
73%
17%
10%
37 54 17 0
26 Jul. 2013
POR
Portugal U19
4 - 2
Lituania U19
LTU
88%
9%
3%
37 69 32 0
23 Jul. 2013
LTU
Lituania U19
0 - 2
España U19
ESP
5%
15%
80%
37 79 42 0