Alemannia Aachen II vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 4
AAA
18%
23%
58%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 1
AAA
31%
25%
43%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 0
WER
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
WEG
1 - 0
AAA
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 0
KÖL
45%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BER
0 - 4
WER
44%
25%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
BER
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
VEL
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
WEG
0 - 2
BER
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 0
BER
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |