Alegría vs Salvatierra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
78.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
MKE
4 - 1
ALE
77%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
3 - 3
TOR
26%
20%
55%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
HAU
4 - 1
ALE
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 0
CDL
58%
20%
22%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CSV
9 - 1
ALE
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Salvatierra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
SLV
1 - 3
AMU
31%
24%
46%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 0
SLV
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
SLV
2 - 3
ZAR
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SLV
0 - 3
IKE
50%
21%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ANS
2 - 2
SLV
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |