Alegría vs Abetxuko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
ALE
66%
20%
14%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ALE
0 - 2
ELP
11%
16%
73%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ZAR
4 - 0
ALE
81%
13%
6%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ALE
2 - 4
CDF
24%
23%
53%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LAK
1 - 1
ALE
75%
16%
9%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Abetxuko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ADC
0 - 1
ALA
22%
23%
55%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CDL
0 - 0
ADC
70%
18%
12%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ADC
0 - 2
CDV
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CON
0 - 1
ADC
38%
24%
38%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ADC
3 - 2
TAL
41%
25%
33%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |