Alecrim vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 2
ALE
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
3 - 2
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
POT
11%
18%
70%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 1
ALE
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
POT
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
POT
12%
19%
69%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 1
BAR
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
RFC
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 5
BAR
12%
16%
72%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
ATP
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -1 |