Alecrim vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ALE
3 - 2
CRB
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ABC
1 - 1
ALE
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
ALE
1 - 0
CAM
28%
27%
46%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 2
ALE
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALE
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
SAL
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
ABC
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SAL
0 - 3
ABC
19%
25%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
FLU
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |