1ª AF Beja Jor. 18

Aldenovense vs Cabeça Gorda analysis

Aldenovense Cabeça Gorda
10 ELO 10
-0.2% Tilt -2.3%
25580º General ELO ranking 25582º
474º Country ELO ranking 475º
ELO win probability
51.6%
Aldenovense
21.9%
Draw
26.5%
Cabeça Gorda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
Aldenovense
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.5%
Win probability
Cabeça Gorda
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aldenovense
+23%
+12%
Cabeça Gorda

ELO progression

Aldenovense
Cabeça Gorda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aldenovense
Aldenovense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2015
GUA
Guadiana
4 - 1
Aldenovense
ALD
59%
21%
20%
11 13 2 0
01 Feb. 2015
ALD
Aldenovense
3 - 1
Almodôvar
ALM
25%
22%
54%
10 14 4 +1
25 Jan. 2015
PIE
Piense
2 - 1
Aldenovense
ALD
57%
21%
22%
11 12 1 -1
11 Jan. 2015
ALD
Aldenovense
1 - 3
Praia Milfontes
PMI
16%
20%
65%
11 21 10 0
04 Jan. 2015
ALD
Aldenovense
5 - 0
São Marcos
SMA
54%
22%
24%
10 9 1 +1

Matches

Cabeça Gorda
Cabeça Gorda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2015
CAG
Cabeça Gorda
1 - 0
Sabóia AC
SAB
45%
23%
32%
9 9 0 0
01 Feb. 2015
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 1
Cabeça Gorda
CAG
85%
10%
5%
9 28 19 0
25 Jan. 2015
CAG
Cabeça Gorda
1 - 2
Cuba SP
CUB
30%
23%
47%
10 13 3 -1
11 Jan. 2015
SER
Serpa
1 - 0
Cabeça Gorda
CAG
83%
11%
6%
10 23 13 0
04 Jan. 2015
ODE
Odemirense
2 - 1
Cabeça Gorda
CAG
80%
13%
7%
10 21 11 0
X