Alcoyano vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
ALG
1 - 0
ALC
62%
25%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
ALC
4 - 0
ANT
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
AMA
2 - 1
ALC
44%
32%
24%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1985 |
ATH
5 - 0
ALC
88%
9%
3%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
ORI
1 - 2
ALC
53%
28%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
AGD
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
ADP
1 - 1
RJA
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
RJA
4 - 1
BAL
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
ALG
2 - 1
RJA
52%
29%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
RJA
1 - 0
ANT
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |