Alcoyano vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 1
ORI
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
GAN
3 - 0
ALC
35%
29%
37%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
PUL
0 - 1
ALC
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
0 - 2
RJA
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
BEN
4 - 2
ALC
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
PUL
0 - 1
CDT
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
PUL
3 - 0
OLI
91%
7%
2%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
PUL
0 - 1
ALC
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
PLA
0 - 0
PUL
40%
28%
33%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
PUL
2 - 1
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |