Alcorcón B vs Móstoles CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 4
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 2
RVB
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
POZ
2 - 3
ALC
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
NAV
1 - 1
ALC
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MOS
0 - 1
ALA
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LEG
2 - 1
MOS
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
MOS
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CMP
1 - 1
MOS
19%
22%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MOS
2 - 0
FPG
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |