Alcorcón B vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PBO
1 - 2
ALC
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
POZ
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
ADP
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 1
ALC
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
INT
45%
26%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
ATB
11%
19%
71%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MEX
0 - 0
LUG
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RVB
0 - 0
LUG
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
CVI
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SSR
2 - 1
LUG
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |