Alcorcón B vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOE
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
ARY
0 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 3
INT
17%
22%
62%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
VLO
1 - 0
ALC
74%
17%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 0
ARA
40%
25%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
LUG
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 2
LEG
54%
24%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARG
3 - 1
LUG
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 2
VCJ
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -1 |