Paracuellos MX vs Puerta Bonita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracuellos MX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
POZ
2 - 1
ALC
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
ADP
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SFN
1 - 1
ALC
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
INT
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COL
1 - 3
ALC
12%
22%
66%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Puerta Bonita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PBO
0 - 1
RVB
15%
21%
64%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CVI
0 - 3
PBO
8%
18%
73%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PBO
0 - 1
SSR
23%
27%
51%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ADA
0 - 0
PBO
62%
23%
15%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PBO
2 - 2
ALC
30%
27%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |