Alcione vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BSD
1 - 1
ALC
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 1
TRI
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALC
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 3
ACP
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALC
42%
23%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
RIM
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
ACA
17%
20%
63%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
MEZ
1 - 0
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 1
COR
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |