Alcione vs Bagnolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LEN
4 - 0
ALC
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 2
GHI
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
ALC
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
RIM
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
1 - 0
ALC
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 0
FAN
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 0
BAG
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 0
COR
29%
24%
48%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
BSD
0 - 0
BAG
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 1
USR
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |