Alcides vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 0
BAB
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
HOO
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
JUL
0 - 1
ALC
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
RKH
58%
21%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BEQ
1 - 0
ALC
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SCN
1 - 1
HOO
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
JUL
3 - 3
SCN
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SCN
0 - 1
SWZ
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RIG
2 - 2
SCN
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SCN
2 - 3
HAR
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |