Alcides vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ROL
0 - 3
ALC
10%
14%
77%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 0
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 3
WVV
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VVE
0 - 2
ALC
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
5 - 2
FCA
89%
8%
3%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FVC
1 - 0
GRC
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LAC
4 - 0
FVC
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FVC
0 - 1
GAC
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FVC
1 - 0
NIE
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VVE
6 - 1
FVC
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |