3ª Catalana Round 15

Alcarras B vs Vilanova de la Barca CF analysis

Alcarras B Vilanova de la Barca CF
15 ELO 16
14.4% Tilt 12.3%
15843º General ELO ranking 15204º
3883º Country ELO ranking 3448º
ELO win probability
47.6%
Alcarras B
21.3%
Draw
31.1%
Vilanova de la Barca CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
Alcarras B
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.1%
Win probability
Vilanova de la Barca CF
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alcarras B
-42%
+42%
Vilanova de la Barca CF

ELO progression

Alcarras B
Vilanova de la Barca CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcarras B
Alcarras B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2025
PUI
Puigvertenc CF
4 - 2
Alcarras B
ALC
52%
22%
27%
16 17 1 0
21 Dec. 2024
ALC
Alcarras B
3 - 2
Golmes
GOL
40%
21%
38%
15 16 1 +1
15 Dec. 2024
ALP
Alpicat C B B
2 - 0
Alcarras B
ALC
52%
21%
28%
16 16 0 -1
01 Dec. 2024
ALC
Alcarras B
4 - 1
Arbeca
ARB
77%
14%
10%
15 10 5 +1
24 Nov. 2024
BOR
Borges Blanques B
0 - 3
Alcarras B
ALC
20%
20%
61%
14 10 4 +1

Matches

Vilanova de la Barca CF
Vilanova de la Barca CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2025
VIL
Vilanova de la Barca CF
1 - 0
Pardinyes
PAR
43%
22%
35%
15 16 1 0
22 Dec. 2024
ALB
Albages A
0 - 2
Vilanova de la Barca CF
VIL
70%
16%
14%
13 16 3 +2
15 Dec. 2024
PUI
Puigvertenc CF
0 - 0
Vilanova de la Barca CF
VIL
73%
16%
11%
13 19 6 0
01 Dec. 2024
VIL
Vilanova de la Barca CF
0 - 2
Golmes
GOL
34%
21%
46%
13 16 3 0
24 Nov. 2024
ALP
Alpicat C B B
1 - 0
Vilanova de la Barca CF
VIL
55%
20%
25%
14 15 1 -1