Alcanenense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALC
46%
27%
28%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
ALC
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADM
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAV
58%
25%
17%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 0
PEN
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
NAV
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |