RSD Alcalá vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VEC
1 - 0
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 0
ALC
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 2
CER
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
5 - 1
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 2
SPB
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 1
PUE
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CER
4 - 1
LEG
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 1
CDT
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPB
2 - 0
LEG
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 1
CPC
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |