RSD Alcalá vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CDS
1 - 0
ALC
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ALC
1 - 1
ZAR
51%
27%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
VAL
4 - 0
ALC
47%
29%
24%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
ALC
2 - 1
TCF
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
COL
1 - 2
ALC
55%
27%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CDT
4 - 2
LPA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
VDB
2 - 1
CDT
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 0
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
SAL
1 - 1
CDT
53%
26%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 0
MAN
61%
24%
15%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |