RSD Alcalá vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
RMC
4 - 3
ALC
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
ALC
1 - 1
MST
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
RVB
1 - 2
ALC
35%
28%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
ALC
3 - 1
GET
69%
20%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
ATC
0 - 2
ALC
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
SFN
1 - 0
NAV
33%
28%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
COL
2 - 1
SFN
55%
25%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
SFN
1 - 1
SNF
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
PNT
5 - 3
SFN
56%
25%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
RMC
2 - 1
SFN
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |