CD Alcalá vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
ALC
3 - 0
CDR
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
AYA
1 - 0
ALC
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
ALC
3 - 0
AOF
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
JER
3 - 2
ALC
89%
8%
3%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
ALC
1 - 0
BET
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
SEV
2 - 0
UTR
95%
5%
1%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
UTR
1 - 1
BCA
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
COR
1 - 1
UTR
67%
18%
14%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
CDR
0 - 0
UTR
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
UTR
3 - 0
AYA
34%
26%
40%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +3 |