CD Alcalá vs UD Los Palacios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 2
ALC
29%
29%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CCF
0 - 3
ALC
25%
28%
47%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CAD
0 - 1
ALC
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ALC
4 - 1
ARC
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Los Palacios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 2
SRQ
34%
28%
38%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
PAL
45%
28%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
PAL
3 - 3
CCF
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 4
CAD
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |