CD Alcalá vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ECI
0 - 1
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
SRQ
22%
27%
51%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AGD
4 - 0
ALC
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
POL
24%
29%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BET
1 - 2
ALC
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 1
RJA
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
ROQ
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 0
LUC
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LUC
3 - 1
PUE
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |