CD Alcalá vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
JER
0 - 0
ALC
15%
23%
62%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAI
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALC
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
SRO
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
ALC
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
JER
3 - 0
SNV
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ASJ
3 - 2
JER
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
JER
1 - 2
CDZ
47%
26%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 3
JER
47%
26%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JER
0 - 0
HER
63%
23%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |