CD Alcalá vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ECI
1 - 0
ALC
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDG
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
COR
0 - 2
ALC
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
UDR
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAB
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARC
42%
26%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 1
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |