Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
CD Alcalá vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
ACF
1 - 0
ALC
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 2
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 0
COR
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CIS
3 - 1
ALC
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAI
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
ACF
1 - 0
ALC
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AST
0 - 1
ACF
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACF
0 - 0
SEG
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
ACF
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CDB
0 - 1
ACF
22%
23%
56%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |