Tercera Division Andalusia and Ceuta Round 15

CD Alcalá vs AD Ceuta FC analysis

CD Alcalá AD Ceuta FC
33 ELO 39
-12.6% Tilt -10.2%
12587º General ELO ranking 1371º
1664º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
35.4%
CD Alcalá
27.5%
Draw
37%
AD Ceuta FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
CD Alcalá
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37%
Win probability
AD Ceuta FC
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Alcalá
-21%
+26%
AD Ceuta FC

ELO progression

CD Alcalá
AD Ceuta FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Alcalá
CD Alcalá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2015
CRD
Córdoba CF B
1 - 1
CD Alcalá
ALC
66%
21%
14%
33 44 11 0
01 Nov. 2015
ALC
CD Alcalá
0 - 1
CMD San Juan
ASJ
50%
25%
26%
33 32 1 0
25 Oct. 2015
ALC
CD Alcalá
1 - 1
CD Inter Sevilla
CIS
25%
24%
51%
33 41 8 0
18 Oct. 2015
SAN
At. Sanluqueño
1 - 2
CD Alcalá
ALC
70%
18%
12%
31 41 10 +2
11 Oct. 2015
ALC
CD Alcalá
3 - 1
Lucena
LUC
28%
26%
47%
29 37 8 +2

Matches

AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2015
CEU
AD Ceuta FC
0 - 0
At. Sanluqueño
SAN
38%
27%
36%
39 41 2 0
01 Nov. 2015
LUC
Lucena
2 - 3
AD Ceuta FC
CEU
46%
26%
28%
38 35 3 +1
25 Oct. 2015
CEU
AD Ceuta FC
0 - 0
Arcos CF
ARC
59%
23%
18%
38 32 6 0
18 Oct. 2015
SAN
San Fernando CD
2 - 2
AD Ceuta FC
CEU
72%
18%
10%
38 49 11 0
11 Oct. 2015
CEU
AD Ceuta FC
3 - 1
Utrera
UTR
59%
23%
18%
37 31 6 +1