Albirex Niigata vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
VIS
1 - 1
ALB
23%
24%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 0
YFM
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 1
TOK
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
KAW
3 - 0
ALB
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ALB
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
TOK
3 - 2
THE
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
THE
0 - 0
SHO
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
SAG
4 - 1
THE
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
THE
1 - 2
VEN
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
THE
0 - 0
MIT
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |