Scottish League Two round 32

Albion Rovers vs Elgin City analysis

Albion Rovers Elgin City
47 ELO 43
-8.1% Tilt 4.7%
4753º General ELO ranking 4037º
55º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Albion Rovers
25.2%
Draw
32.9%
Elgin City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.9%
Win probability
Elgin City
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Albion Rovers
+22%
-11%
Elgin City

Points and table prediction

Albion Rovers
Their league position
Elgin City
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
10º
40
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stirling Albion
73
76
100%
Dumbarton
61
62
100%
Annan Athletic
51
52
66%
East Fife
50
51
66%
Forfar Athletic
45
46
48%
Stenhousemuir
44
45
38%
Stranraer
44
45
60.5%
Bonnyrigg Rose
39
42
58.5%
Elgin City
40
40
58.5%
Albion Rovers
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Albion Rovers
Elgin City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Albion Rovers
Elgin City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
56%
23%
21%
46 50 4 0
25 Mar. 2023
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
BRA
42%
26%
33%
47 47 0 -1
21 Mar. 2023
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 1
Stranraer
STR
44%
25%
31%
48 47 1 -1
18 Mar. 2023
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 5
Albion Rovers
ALB
59%
24%
18%
46 54 8 +2
04 Mar. 2023
STI
Stirling Albion
3 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
63%
22%
15%
46 56 10 0

Matches

Elgin City
Elgin City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2023
STI
Stirling Albion
1 - 0
Elgin City
ELG
67%
20%
13%
45 57 12 0
01 Apr. 2023
ELG
Elgin City
0 - 3
Stirling Albion
STI
25%
26%
50%
46 56 10 -1
24 Mar. 2023
EAS
East Fife
2 - 0
Elgin City
ELG
47%
24%
30%
47 48 1 -1
11 Mar. 2023
BLA
Annan Athletic
4 - 1
Elgin City
ELG
63%
19%
18%
47 52 5 0
04 Mar. 2023
ELG
Elgin City
0 - 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
BRA
52%
23%
25%
48 46 2 -1