Third Division Round 1

Albion Rovers vs Arbroath analysis

Albion Rovers Arbroath
42 ELO 50
24.4% Tilt 7.1%
4667º General ELO ranking 2509º
55º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
36.8%
Albion Rovers
24.5%
Draw
38.7%
Arbroath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.7%
Win probability
Arbroath
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Albion Rovers
-5%
+6%
Arbroath

ELO progression

Albion Rovers
Arbroath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2005
QOS
Queen of the South
4 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
69%
18%
12%
41 62 21 0
07 May. 2005
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 5
Gretna
GRE
16%
21%
63%
42 68 26 -1
30 Apr. 2005
EAS
East Fife
1 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
57%
23%
20%
42 46 4 0
23 Apr. 2005
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 2
Queen's Park
QUE
49%
24%
26%
43 48 5 -1
16 Apr. 2005
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
47%
24%
29%
42 36 6 +1

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2005
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 3
Stranraer
STR
45%
25%
30%
50 58 8 0
07 May. 2005
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 2
Stirling Albion
STI
35%
26%
39%
50 56 6 0
30 Apr. 2005
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
50%
24%
25%
50 54 4 0
23 Apr. 2005
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
43%
26%
31%
51 55 4 -1
16 Apr. 2005
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 0
Berwick Rangers
BER
48%
25%
27%
50 51 1 +1