AlbinoLeffe U19 vs Südtirol U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
16º
5º
36
1º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
USA
4 - 0
ABL
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
REG
1 - 2
ABL
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ABL
5 - 2
SPA
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 1
ABL
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ABL
3 - 1
CIT
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Südtirol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 0
REN
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VIC
4 - 0
SUD
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 1
UDI
23%
20%
57%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CIT
1 - 1
SUD
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 0
COM
19%
19%
61%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |